With the Regular Season winding down and the NBA Playoff set to tip off later this week, some of the protagonist’s stars are getting the star treatment with a little bit of rest while others continue to take centre stage night in and night out as their teams fight for playoff position or playoff lives.

All teams have been been reliant on one of their stars during the regular season and this is unlikely to change in the playoffs so as they go likely the team will go the rest of the way. Below is a look at the sixteen most relied upon players at what we possibly could expect come playoff time from them individually.

Eastern Conference
Isaiah Thomas (Bos), this season has taken a leap forward statistically & in his limited playoff experience he has performed better than he has in the regular season.

Post Season Regular Season
Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG
10 21.5 37.60% 3 5.8 439 19.1 44.30% 2.6 5.2

His performance has increased significantly this season averaging 29.2 points per game, so one can expect a big increase per game this playoff season. If not, the Celtics are likely to make an early exit. They are very dependent on Thomas’ production so expect him to take a lot of shots & score in excess of 30 pts per match.

Lebron James (Cle), production in the regular season and Post Season are almost identical, rebounding & assist stats suggest that James has a tendency to take things into his own hands a little more than usual in the Post Season. Not that it needs to be said but Lebron is key & has been forever but statistically no reason to expect anything different than what he has produced in the 199 playoff games he has played.

Post Season Regular Season
Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG
199 28 47.80% 8.8 6.8 1061 27.1 50.10% 7.3 7

Demar Derozan (Tor), has lit it up of late with the return of Lowry and the Raptors could be the hottest team in the East entering the playoffs. This could be a good sign of their maturity which would serve them well to possibly get to the next step. Historically he has scored more in the playoffs but at the same time that has come to the expense of the team in the past in post season, as he has registered a 39.3% field goal percentage.

Look for Derozan to play smarter by being more selective producing higher scoring numbers by being more efficient. Averaging 24 to 25 pts per game could well be a possibility & needed for them to get to the next step. Being supported by a more mature supporting cast and capable star in his own right, Lowry, running the show makes this possible.

Post Season Regular Season
Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG
31 21.5 39.30% 4.4 3.3 595 19.3 44.60% 4.1 2.8

John Wall (Was) historically has not played to his regular season level. This is likely due to pressure and lack of a supporting cast. Will this change this year? Not likely! Look for more of the same as this team could be a year or two away still. He is instrumental but he will be guarded closely and will be frustrated.

Washington will play Atlanta first and this is the toughest 1st round opponent, if they do advance it will only get tougher. He has shot 37.6% in 18 post season games compared to 43.3%, if he replicates through being frustrated expect him to top out at an average of 17 pts per game. He can always look forward to next year however.

Post Season Regular Season
Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG
18 16.7 37.60% 4.3 8.9 500 18.8 43.30% 4.4 9.2

Paul Milsap (Atl), is definitely key, for more than just his offensive numbers. He has taken a step forward this year and is the true leader of the Hawks. Not a prolific scorer but might have to be if the Hawks are hopeful of getting out of the first round. He is averaging almost 19 this season and will have to average 20+ if he is going to be able to carry this team.

Post Season Regular Season
Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG
81 12.5 45.80% 7.4 1.8 836 14.2 49.30% 7.5 2.3

Look for Milsap to take a step up, take more shots and be more of go to player and carry Atlanta with 22+ per game!
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Mil) having a breakout year this season is definitely a wild card and will be definitely key to Bucks pulling off an upset in the 1st round. Difficult to draw on past stats.


Post Season Regular Season

Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG
6 11.5 36.60% 7 2.7 317 14.9 49.70% 6.9 3.6

but I will take the easy way out and predict a tough playoff series. In 6 games to date, he has struggled with a 36.6% shooting percentage, big drop from his career 49.7%. If he can shoot 42-45% look for him to average 18 pts in this playoff run.

Paul George (Ind) is a seasoned star but he is not happy! His production has been consistent, and predictable over the years having relatively the same numbers in both regular and post season play.

Post Season Regular Season

Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG
61 18.4 42.70% 7.2 3.8 446 18 43.20% 6.3 3.2

The question is can he channel his anger and super hero his Pacers to an unexpected run. I personally don’t think so! I expect a decline in production and an early start to the summer of bickering with management to accommodate his eventual exist. Expect no more than 16 pts a game!

Jimmy Butler (Chi) is a high-profile player and off season moves have paved the way for his promotion to team star. His career stats tell us he has been consistent till now and we should expect this year’s playoff run to be a reflection of the regular season at a minimum.

Post Season Regular Season
Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG Number of Games PTS/Game FG% RAVG AAVG
32 15.7 43.10% 4.8 2.5 397 15.5 44.80% 4.8 3.1

He is scoring 23.9 pts/game this season I expect him to take things in his hand even more to prove he is the man. As a result, look for 25+ pts per game, this could see his field goal percentage suffer and possible drop to 40%. This is part of the player’s development and this year’s playoff series will serve him well for a future run as Chicago continues to rebuild.